Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.309691 0.414674 0.530445 0.665432 0.816581 0.978956 1.165018
2025-06-01 0.139285 0.262238 0.418635 0.620205 0.863690 1.140874 1.473690
2025-06-08 0.069008 0.187551 0.359647 0.598903 0.902739 1.260833 1.702097
2025-06-15 0.035843 0.149221 0.336677 0.614035 0.979603 1.420974 1.974316
2025-06-22 0.013181 0.111025 0.302783 0.606260 1.021196 1.533593 2.186040
2025-06-29 0.001895 0.077766 0.266509 0.588218 1.044536 1.620227 2.363811
2025-07-06 0.000096 0.068078 0.268029 0.623346 1.137051 1.792117 2.644141
2025-07-13 NaN 0.062167 0.274895 0.665621 1.238731 1.975346 2.938312
2025-07-20 NaN 0.055736 0.278753 0.702256 1.332165 2.147869 3.219310
2025-07-27 NaN 0.057307 0.300213 0.767103 1.464974 2.371046 3.563147
2025-08-03 NaN 0.053346 0.307819 0.809065 1.565618 2.552909 3.856033
2025-08-10 NaN 0.041833 0.293838 0.814018 1.613265 2.665888 4.063170
2025-08-17 NaN 0.021775 0.247882 0.763524 1.583815 2.682972 4.157441
2025-08-24 NaN 0.008135 0.204267 0.710900 1.548192 2.690574 4.239532
2025-08-31 NaN 0.002652 0.179917 0.689071 1.554906 2.751625 4.386493
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001163 0.175384 0.705054 1.618495 2.888841 4.630445
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000041 0.159947 0.696774 1.643742 2.973612 4.806907
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.140665 0.677331 1.650082 3.031735 4.948499
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.147172 0.715132 1.747088 3.214282 5.250825
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.156959 0.760522 1.856339 3.413847 5.575383
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.164047 0.799782 1.955895 3.600200 5.883037
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.184288 0.869120 2.103570 3.852929 6.276741
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.193723 0.913893 2.212144 4.051978 6.601192